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Elphinstone Road Railway Station Stampede

Essay by   •  December 21, 2017  •  Essay  •  1,016 Words (5 Pages)  •  899 Views

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2. Study [for AOL 01] the event/issue as a system of inputs, process, and outputs circularly related to each other, and analyze the nature of relationship between any two of them at a time (designated as A and B) as just random, sequential, association, correlation, necessary condition, sufficient condition or cause.  Which relationship explains the event better in terms of detection, prevention and prediction/control and why?  

[Pranesh.R H17153]

Event: Elphinstone Road Railway Station Stampede

Inputs:

  1.  The Elphinstone Foot over Bridge (FoB) was designed to carry a maximum of 100 commuters but actually carried 1000 commuters in peak hours
  2. The stations connected by the FoB handles 3 lakh commuters a day, 250 times increase from the time the bridge was constructed.
  3. Multiple complaints and warnings regarding the overcrowding of the narrow FoB was ignored by authorities at various levels of administration.

Process:

  1. At about 10:20 am, September 29, 2017, the FoB was carrying about 1200 commuters.
  2. Someone in the crowd saw few blocks of the bridge falling and shouted about it causing panic among the commuters.
  3. The stampede began at 10:26 am but the staff at the stations did not stop the incoming trains till 11am resulting in further overcrowding and stampede.

Output:

  1. The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured.

Relationship Table

Variable A

Variable B

Relation type

Analysis

The Elphinstone Foot over Bridge (FoB) was designed to carry a maximum of 100 commuters but actually carried 1000 commuters in peak hours

At about 10:20 am, September 29, 2017, the FoB was carrying about 1200 commuters

Sequential

It is a sequential relation as the overcrowding on that particular day followed a similar pattern observed.

The Elphinstone Foot over Bridge (FoB) was designed to carry a maximum of 100 commuters but actually carried 1000 commuters in peak hours

Someone in the crowd saw few blocks of the bridge falling and shouted about it causing panic among the commuters

Cause

Clearly the overcrowding has caused the minor damage to the bridge ultimately resulting in panic.

The Elphinstone Foot over Bridge (FoB) was designed to carry a maximum of 100 commuters but actually carried 1000 commuters in peak hours

The stampede began at 10:26 am but the staff at the stations did not stop the incoming trains till 11am resulting in further overcrowding and stampede

Random

N/A

The Elphinstone Foot over Bridge (FoB) was designed to carry a maximum of 100 commuters but actually carried 1000 commuters in peak hours

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

The under-capacity FoB was the main reason for the tragedy

The stations connected by the FoB handles 3 lakh commuters a day, 250 times increase from the time the bridge was constructed

At about 10:20 am, September 29, 2017, the FoB was carrying about 1200 commuters

Associated cause

The 250 time increase in traffic is the indirect cause of overcrowding of FoB

The stations connected by the FoB handles 3 lakh commuters a day, 250 times increase from the time the bridge was constructed

Someone in the crowd saw few blocks of the bridge falling and shouted about it causing panic among the commuters

Correlation

The 250 time increase in traffic resulted in overcrowding which inturn led to minor damage to bridge.

The stations connected by the FoB handles 3 lakh commuters a day, 250 times increase from the time the bridge was constructed

The stampede began at 10:26 am but the staff at the stations did not stop the incoming trains till 11am resulting in further overcrowding and stampede

Random

N/A

The stations connected by the FoB handles 3 lakh commuters a day, 250 times increase from the time the bridge was constructed

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

The heavy increase in commuter traffic is the critical reason for the tragedy

Multiple complaints and warnings regarding the overcrowding of the narrow FoB was ignored by authorities at various levels of administration

At about 10:20 am, September 29, 2017, the FoB was carrying about 1200 commuters

Cause

The carelessness was directly responsible for the FoB not being renewed/strengthened to carry 1000 plus commuters.

Multiple complaints and warnings regarding the overcrowding of the narrow FoB was ignored by authorities at various levels of administration

Someone in the crowd saw few blocks of the bridge falling and shouted about it causing panic among the commuters

Correlation

The carelessness resulted in overcrowding which in turn led to minor damage to bridge.

Multiple complaints and warnings regarding the overcrowding of the narrow FoB was ignored by authorities at various levels of administration

The stampede began at 10:26 am but the staff at the stations did not stop the incoming trains till 11am resulting in further overcrowding and stampede

Random

N/A

Multiple complaints and warnings regarding the overcrowding of the narrow FoB was ignored by authorities at various levels of administration

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

If at least one of the multitude of authorities have been proactive the tragedy would not have occurred.  

At about 10:20 am, September 29, 2017, the FoB was carrying about 1200 commuters

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

This is the starting point of the stampede

Someone in the crowd saw few blocks of the bridge falling and shouted about it causing panic among the commuters

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

This acted as the trigger for the panic resulting in stampede

The stampede began at 10:26 am but the staff at the stations did not stop the incoming trains till 11am resulting in further overcrowding and stampede

The stampede claimed 22 lives and left 35 injured

Cause

If the staff at the station had the presence of mind to stop the incoming trains the tragedy could have been averted as about 10 trains each carrying 4000 odd commuters arrived between 10:30 to 11 am

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